I've spent the past year testing Microsoft Office 2016 and I can tell you it's not an alternative, but a full fledged standalone desktop program in its own right. Not only that, but put it in the ring with Office 2013 and Office 2016 will KO 2013 and have it laying on the mat in nothing flat; that's how advanced O365 2016 is!
Well, actually, your timing is a tad bit off. Office 365 2016 will be officially released September 22, 2015, so it's a couple of years ahead of your prediction.
I didn't say Office 365. I predicted WINDOWS 365 in a couple of years.
Lemme see now . . . The selling point for Office 365 is that it's always current in that you ". . . receive monthly feature and security updates just the same as over the past few years. Moving forward, this always up-to-date approach is called Current Branch and means that you always have the most current Office apps and capabilities deployed. The next Current Branch will release on September 22nd and will have all of the new Office 2016 app updates included. . . Source here: Adminsâ€”get ready for Office 2016, rollout begins September 22! - Office Blogs
Sound familiar? It should, because that's almost exactly the same wording we've seen in Windows 10, right? So, here we are, at Windows 365 without the subscription price! Here's an excerpt from the Windows blog . . . once a Windows device is upgraded to Windows 10, we will continue to keep it current for the supported lifetime of the device – at no cost. With Windows 10, the experience will evolve and get even better over time. We’ll deliver new features when they’re ready, not waiting for the next major release. We think of Windows as a Service – in fact, one could reasonably think of Windows in the next couple of years as one of the largest Internet services on the planet. The source is here: The next generation of Windows: Windows 10 | Blogging Windows
Of course, Windows in the Enterprise will be a whole 'nother thing. Corporations and larger businesses will continue to have volume licensing because that's the nature of the beast.
BTW, StarFerret's busily stuffing my words down my throat!
Traditional way . . . you custom build your own computer and buy a boxed version of Windows 10 . . . or, you buy a computer with Windows 10 already installed on it. If you replace a motherboard on a Windows 10 computer, you gotta buy a new copy of Windows 10.
If I custom build a computer, I'm not going to continue to pay for Windows 10 for the next five or ten years. Who in their right mind would buy a computer and then continue paying for a subscription to Windows? And if I had installed a new motherboard into a current computer, I wouldn't continue paying a subscription fee for Windows.
Not likely! I'd go to a form of Linux before I'd do that. And . . . Apple's Mac would look a whole lot more palatable to me.
Since Windows 10 will remain in perpetual upgrade status, and since Microsoft now allows us a bit of control over how our updates are applied, even those on metered connections will not find it hard to keep Windows updated the way they wish. They can simply run Windows with a local account and, say, once a month, sign in with their Microsoft account to get updates. That's not really hard for me to imagine.
And the last and most important reason is that Microsoft wants to be top dog in the world of Operating Systems. They know as well as I do that if they start to charge a subscription fee for Windows they'll lose.
Microsoft doesn't make its money off us enthusiasts; there are much larger fish in the sea and those are the ones they're courting. However, if Microsoft charges me a subscription fee for Windows, then it follows that to avoid discrimination against the little guy they have to charge everyone a subscription fee and that includes small businesses on up to the largest corporation.
There are many, many ways Microsoft makes its money, and Windows isn't anywhere near the top of the food chain when it comes to income for Microsoft.
So, no, I don't think they'll ever make Windows a subscription service. They don't dare; they know the consequences.
The only people i see with multiple devices are younger households , i have tons of cousins (ages 60+ ) and not a single one has more than one computer , actually i asked a few of them the other day about computing and they say they go on the computer once per week (no joke) .
Seems every one thinks computers are more of a hassle then they are worth , most youngsters and tech people love them though . The overwhelming majority of complaints about Win 8 and 8.1 was about the computer OS being changed into a multi device platform , that would lend me to believe most don't own multiple devices .